Thursday, June 28, 2012

ASAR- 15( JUNE 29, 2012) RICE DAY
(Dhan : khadya surakchya ko lagi baradan)


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Tuesday, June 12, 2012


            It is not astonishing, even today majority of rural Nepalese don't ponder further to surety of Gans, Bans and Kapas ( food, shelter and clothes ) if they are contemplated, what they endeavor from the government? And it has been measurable time, policies are formulated, expenditures are made to asymptote on those community but achievement is far from the contemplation.
            Recently news are circulated, government budget in agriculture is plausible to be doubled in next fiscal year; PM Bhattarai is divulging at different functions. This has fabricated an aspiration in promotion of Nepalese economy through commercialization in agriculture sector. Agricultural commercialization calls for augmented investment and capital formation for more intensive production. Hence, the magnitude of commercialization and amplitude of investment are positively correlated. Antithetical to the PM's testimony; Whether there wasn't ample investment for agriculture in past? This question is being  common for us.
            Comprehensive amount of money have been invested in agricultural development  in Nepal, but unfortunately most of them have not been fruitful. Starting form 5th periodic plan to 9th periodic plan, agriculture was the first prioritized sector of the country. But, yet to be imported large amount of cereals, meat, milk, pulses, oilseeds and fruits shows our investment on agriculture was either not abundant or despoiled. The record from trade and export promotion center (TEPC) shows agricultural product amounted  NRs 46,825 million have been imported in Nepal in FY 2010/11 from different parts of the world; major being India, while this figure for export is only NRs 13,580 million. This shows if we were self-sufficient in production, NRs 33,245 million could be scrimped form departing; which is around nine percent of our national budget for fiscal year 2011/12.
            The economic hardship experienced by most people in rural region of the country has destined outflow of youth population from the country, so more and more productive agricultural land has been virtually taken out of production. Spending to agriculture is one of the most pivotal government instruments for accelerating economic growth and alleviating poverty in rural areas of Nepal. This is because , the majorities of poor people in Nepal live in rural areas and depend upon agriculture for their livelihood. Agriculture is therefore eminent both for economic development and poverty reduction.
            The time has come to give rigorous attention during investing in agriculture. There might be stream of funds in agriculture sector, but if this could not be routed well, that will again be a huge excrement. So government has to aware of this.
            First of all, the comprehensive study of performance of present agriculture sector should be conducted. It should be converged on disposition of existing agriculture system, its institutional framework, strengths and weaknesses. Based on this, the skeleton for investment will be formulated. The second step, should be scrutiny of past policies affecting the agriculture. This covers not only agricultural policies but also policies juxtaposed with trade and marketing, import, export, subsidy to farmers, banking policies and agribusiness promotion policies etc. More to this, how investment decisions are taken and what is the role of farmers on that judgment? is one of the important query to be anatomized on policies. As a result, an idea of deficient part on policies and agility to be incorporated for immediate and  long run response is achieved.
            As a third step, an arbitration of investment processes in Nepalese agriculture should be thoroughly executed. This not only covers investment from government  compartment ( ministry, banks ) but also from private sector, private banks, different NGOs, INGOs, CBOs and UN agencies. This will somewhat assist in disclosing  investment duplicating, lacking and potential investment area. Besides  assessing the investment area, it also covers the disbursement process, and find out effective method in our context.
            Until government is nimble to take advantage of every rupee their national hold, the development seems almost unattainable for any country. A number of countries are now undertaking ambitious attempts to transform their agriculture sector, engaging in public-private collaboration. So, as fourth step, an analysis to constraints to private sector investment in Nepalese agriculture should be done. This will unmask , why private sector is reluctant to invest in agriculture ? and give an idea to inspire them for the outlay.
            During this dissertation process, it is almost sure, many alternatives of investment will be there in front of government. As we know, If we possess many alternatives with limited budget, we should choose that gives highest output with minimum payback period, same doctrine should be followed here. Thus, the study of choices  for investment gives an idea about the superior option to be implemented. So the  fifth step should be identification and evaluation of investment options. This whole process will divide the work to be done in to two categories i.e. of immediate response and long term. Thus as a last step implementation of the chosen investment activities should be sequenced on priority basis.
            Now I would like to highlight some of the major constraints being faced in Nepalese agriculture, which demands immediate attention.
            The first solicitation of farmers anywhere in the country is availability of irrigation. Thousands of hectares of land are barren, less productive and infertile. If government could manage irrigation to them, it will certainly work in multifaceted way. First of all, the production will be boosted, which means amalgamation of income level of farmers that results gravitation of youths toward the agriculture. Thus, irrigation is the most distinguished instrument to jump toward agricultural commercialization. Irrigation not necessarily means large budgeted canal irrigation, but our geographical location and topography indulges small irrigation in hilly region and canal irrigation in terai.
            There is one important fact about agribusiness; the prices of farm inputs has increased magnificently since last decade but price of the farm produce at farmers level is increased to a lesser extent. Thus, second most noteworthy component is subsidized and sufficient high quality agricultural inputs like fertilizer, seeds ,animal breeds, equipments and machineries. There may be many reasons, mechanization in Nepal is at rudimentary stage. Traditional farming practices are still established here. High yielding varieties of crops  and  breeds of animals are still not common in farmers level. Farmers never get timely and prosperous fertilizers during cultivation of crops. So input accessibility is important factor to be considered.
            The third up most important component is availability of credit to the farmers. If sufficient credit and technical assistance is bestowed to the  farmers, they would then be in a position to apply improved production techniques, thereby increasing yields and production, and achieving the stated policy goal to boost exports and reduce imports through commercialization of agribusiness practices. At present condition, high level of investing for commercial purpose in agriculture is not prevailing in Nepal. Thus government should provide sizable amount of credit to the farmers at highly subsidized interest rate. The investment also should be in denomination of animal and crop insurance through the credit providing agencies.
            Thus, the pattern of agriculture and its output could be molded by government policies adopted during the time on agricultural investment. High investment in agriculture will not work as a magic if not utilized precisely. So, government should give attentive eye to many such key issues antecedence to investing on agriculture sector; the sector which employs two third of nation's population and provides one third of national income. The demand driven and return oriented investment will certainly work paramount rather than abruptly deciding for the investment.

Wednesday, June 6, 2012

The Food Balance Sheet of Nepal For Year 2011/12 is Published by ABPSD, of MOAD, Nepal. This is a preliminary estimate based on the preliminary estimate of production records of crops and livestock. To be more specific, this balance sheet is based only on cereals, so it could equally named as cereal balance sheet of Nepal.
The main Highlights from this information is
  1. About 8 lakh and 86 thousands of cereals is found to have surplus than requirement of Nepal.
  2. Yet, 27 districts out of 75 are found to have food deficit  from their own production.
  3. The production  and surplus of cereals is of record level for Nepal, till the date.

 FOOD BALANCESHEET  OF NEPAL IN 2011/12 



(Baseed on preliminary production data)






Total Proj.Popn.  Net edible Require- Balance
DISTRICT Cereal 2011/12 prodn. (mt.) ment (mt) (+,-)
TAPLEJUNG 67024 127960 46691 24440 22251
SANKHUWASHAVA 71656 159694 44167 30501 13666
SOLUKHUMBU 46624 106681 35533 20376 15157






E.MOUNTAIN 185304 394334 126391 75317 51074






PANCHTHAR 62325 197999 40555 39798 757
ILLAM 139663 297185 99807 59734 40073
TERHATHUM 59057 100684 38413 20237 18176
DHANKUTA 72845 163902 52394 32944 19450
BHOJPUR 126606 182187 90941 36620 54321
KHOTANG 130214 207118 94544 41631 52913
OKHALDHUNGA 58591 147526 41588 29653 11935
UDAYAPUR 104367 325797 65988 65485 503






E.HILLS 753668 1622398 524230 326102 198128






JHAPA 422916 825073 250113 149338 100775
MORANG 365222 978610 213057 177128 35929
SUNSARI 234582 766193 137989 138681 -692
SAPTARI 230975 654858 133611 118529 15082
SIRAHA 212447 651085 117795 117846 -51






E.TERAI 1466142 3875820 852564 701522 151042






E.REGION 2405113 5892552 1503185 1102941 400244






DOLAKHA 40481 186707 26170 35661 -9491
SINDHUPALCHOK 113863 287904 81737 54990 26747
RASUWA 11244 43706 6637 8348 -1711






C.MOUNTAIN 165588 518317 114545 98999 15546






RAMECHAP 94792 204626 66350 41130 25220
SINDHULI 97500 296180 67137 59532 7605
KAVRE 121517 390392 80479 78469 2010
BHAKTAPUR 44475 313451 25433 63004 -37571
LALITPUR 76735 484610 49823 97407 -47584
KATHMANDU 91338 1847055 55282 371258 -315976
NUWAKOT 139307 277822 92366 55842 36524
DHADING 81148 336011 48474 67538 -19064
MAKWANPUR 125560 431294 87662 86690 972






C.HILLS 872372 4581441 573007 920870 -347863






DHANUSHA 282369 779507 175424 141091 34333
MAHOTTARI 168869 657258 107477 118964 -11487
SARLAHI 253490 784721 165215 142035 23180
RAUTAHAT 183152 715520 108132 129509 -21377
BARA 345053 718829 218854 130108 88746
PARSA 291977 614343 184416 111196 73220
CHITWAN 162432 578017 86581 104621 -18040






C.TERAI 1687341 4848196 1046100 877524 168576






C.REGION 2725301 9947954 1733651 1897393 -163742






MANANG 1707 6319 1165 1207 -42
MUSTANG 3345 13690 2246 2615 -369






W.MOUNTAIN 5052 20009 3411 3822 -411






GORKHA 96238 267634 65778 53794 11984
LAMJUNG 91345 168336 62595 33836 28759
TANAHU 117601 332191 80391 66770 13621
KASKI 142173 504593 87793 101423 -13630
PARBAT 66637 146074 45951 29361 16590
SYANGJA 182493 285381 129856 57362 72494
PALPA 88823 269453 60597 54160 6437
MYAGDI 55189 113659 40235 22846 17389
BAGLUNG 113054 270117 85480 54294 31186
GULMI 96938 282326 70650 56748 13902
ARGHAKHANCHI 81303 199682 55844 40136 15708






W.HILLS 1131794 2839448 785170 570730 214440






NAWALPARASI 272287 644033 163378 116570 46808
RUPANDEHI 414860 909024 252603 164533 88070
KAPILBASTU 299465 580535 182761 105077 77684






W.TERAI 986612 2133592 598742 386180 212562






W.REGION 2123458 4993049 1387322 960732 426590






DOLPA 12543 37590 10974 7180 3794
MUGU 17845 56743 11682 10838 844
HUMLA 4865 52316 2244 9992 -7748
JUMLA 26990 111082 16551 21217 -4666
KALIKOT 24791 146455 16985 27973 -10988






MW.MOUNTAIN 87034 404186 58436 77200 -18764






RUKUM 68412 213390 51010 42891 8119
ROLPA 57177 228921 40638 46013 -5375
PYUTHAN 60662 237674 41019 47773 -6754
SALYAN 82643 247007 56895 49648 7247
JAJARKOT 42277 177388 29533 35655 -6122
DAILEKH 97842 268362 69381 53941 15440
SURKHET 153650 369038 107381 74177 33204






MW.HILLS 562663 1741781 395858 350098 45759






DANG 241575 569372 149477 103056 46421
BANKE 197970 506713 122183 91715 30468
BARDIYA 268060 431890 162786 78172 84614






MW.TERAI 707605 1507975 434446 272943 161503






MW.REGION 1357302 3653941 888741 700241 188498






BAJURA 23912 138835 13918 26518 -12600
BAJHANG 35376 199714 20474 38145 -17671
DARCHULA 36406 134719 24332 25731 -1399






FW.MOUNTAIN 95694 473268 58724 90394 -31670






ACHHAM 70610 261005 45460 52462 -7002
DOTI 65503 212314 42645 42675 -30
BAITADI 68300 254019 48116 51058 -2942
DADELDHURA 34557 143268 21240 28797 -7557






FW.HILLS 238970 870607 157460 174992 -17531






KAILALI 287675 789459 171813 142892 28921
KANCHANPUR 224080 452126 136831 81835 54996






FW.TERAI 511755 1241585 308644 224727 83917






FW.REGION 846419 2585460 524828 490113 34716






N E P A L : 9457593 27019855 6037727 5151420 886307
Mountain 538671 1810114 361507 345732 15774
Hill 3559466 11655674 2435725 2342792 92933
Terai 5359455 13607168 3240496 2462896 777600
Total 9457593 27072956 6037727 5151420 886307


The sole intention of publishing this information is for knowledge. No official Declaration of figure is found . So I specially warn you not to use this information for any research paper. (calculated from CBS data basis )                Quantity index of Agriculture Commodities 2011/12


Agricultural 
Commodities
Growing of Cereals and other crops n 47.08
Paddy 17.52
Maize 7.75
Wheat 6.57
Millet(Kodo) 1.07
Barley/naked barley 0.16
 potato 6.44
sweet potato 0.03
Colocasia 0.10
Other tubers & bulbs 0.04
Mustard 1.29
Groundnut 0.02
Linseed 0.42
Sesame(cash crops) 0.07
Other oil seeds 0.03
Sugarcane 1.11
Jute 0.11
cotton (cash crops) 0.00
Tobacco 0.01
Mulberry and cocoon 0.00
Soyabeans 0.23
Black grams (pulses) 0.38
Pigeon pea 0.22
Grass pea 0.11
Lentil 2.98
Chick pea 0.09
Horse gram 0.05
Other pulses 0.29
Growing of vegetables,horticultural,specialities and nursery products 13.23
 vegetable 13.18
Mushroom (vegetables) 0.04
cut flower 0.00
Nursery 0.01
Growing of fruit, nuts beverage and spice crops 10.02
Orange  1.71
Lemon  0.13
Lime  0.09
Sweet Orange  0.45
Others Citrus  0.04
Mango  1.64
Banana  0.78
Guava  0.15
Jackfruit  0.10
Pineapple  0.09
Lychee  0.31
Apple  0.41
Pear  0.12
Plum  0.04
Papaya  0.17
Pomegranate  0.01
Peach 0.06
Apricot  0.01
Persimom 0.01
Walnut 0.09
Arecanut (spices) 0.04
Coconut 0.04
Almond  0.00
Chilies 0.32
Onion 0.50
Garlic 0.56
Giner 1.40
Turmeric 0.22
Cardamon 0.37
Coriander seed 0.03
Tea 0.11
Coffee 0.01
Farming of domestic animals; dairy farming 21.76
Buffaloes'  Meat 4.42
Sheep's  Meat 0.14
Goat's  Meat 3.17
MILK OF COW 3.51
MILK OF BUFFALOES 8.71
MILK OF Chaunri 0.37
Others animals 0.01
fertilizers 1.43
Other animals farming ;production of animals products n.e.c. 3.20
Pig's meat 0.44
Wool (Livestock) 0.01
Fowl  meat 1.31
Eggs of hen 0.81
Duck's meat 0.01
Eggs of duck 0.02
Pigeons' meat 0.05
Hides and skins 0.47
Honey 0.09
Forestry, logging and related services activities 4.79
Overall Index 100

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Badri Khanal is An Agriculture Economist from Nepal
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